Broker Check
Just Buy the Porsche

Just Buy the Porsche

August 25, 2026

There is a version of the Porsche 911 that has existed, in roughly the same form, since 1963. You can buy one new or used. You can drive it to work on Monday, take it to a track day on Saturday, and drive home afterward. It will start every time. It will hold its value. It will not surprise you. It is not the most exotic sports car you could own. If you want a sports car, however, and you can afford one, it is probably the best sports car you could own.

I know what some of you are thinking: shouldn't we all just drive a Toyota Camry? And for a lot of people, yes, the Camry is the right answer. But that's not who this is for. This is for people who can afford the Porsche, who have earned the right to drive something great, and who are being talked into something that sounds even better, and isn't. The Porsche, in this analogy, is the sensible choice. That's the whole point.

Then there is the other kind of sports car. The Lotus. The classic Aston. The Morgan. Beautiful things, genuinely exciting things. Cars with a story and a mystique and an owner community that will make you feel like you belong to something. Also: cars that spend meaningful time in the shop. Cars that require specialists (or a hack mechanic with infinite patience). Cars that, if you're honest, you chose because of the pitch or a longstanding dream rather than the reality of ownership.

I think about this whenever I get forwarded pitches for private alternative investments. Real estate funds. Private credit. Syndications. Deals with a waiting list and a minimum and a webinar and a track record that goes back exactly as far as the last bull market.

The pitch is always the Lotus. The reality is usually something else.


What's the real return?

The headline number in these deals is almost always a, "targeted," return, typically somewhere between 8% and 12%, sometimes higher. Targeted means that's the goal. It is not a guarantee, and in the fine print, it never pretends to be. What it is designed to do is sound better than whatever the stock market returned last year.

But targeted compared to what? Before or after fees? Gross or net? And what fees exactly, because the ones you're quoted up front are rarely the only ones that exist. A deal I was looking at recently charges, "no GP-level fees." They also own their property management company. That's not a scandal. It's just a detail that lives in the private placement memorandum, not the marketing email.

Then there's the illiquidity. Your money is committed for years, often with vague, "flexible exit options," that sound better than they perform when you actually need to use them. Public markets compensate investors for illiquidity with higher long-run returns. Private deals promise the same thing, but the evidence that they actually deliver, net of fees, net of the selection bias toward deals that get marketed to you, is a lot thinner than the pitch suggests.


The return on frustration

Here's a number nobody quotes: how much is your time and aggravation worth?

These investments come with K-1s (tax forms that report your share of the fund's income, losses, and depreciation). They sometimes arrive in October, six months after you already filed your taxes and paid your accountant. They sometimes come with capital calls (requests for additional money, on the operator's timeline, not yours). They come with quarterly reports that are really marketing materials in disguise. They come with the low-grade, persistent anxiety of owning something you can't easily exit and can't easily value on any given Tuesday.

I call this the return on frustration. It's real. It's just never in the deck.


The due diligence problem

Here's what's true about most of these deals: as a smaller outside investor, you cannot actually assess them properly. You can watch a webinar. You can read a slide deck. You can look at a self-reported track record. What you cannot do is the kind of institutional due diligence that would tell you whether the operators are as good as they say, whether the assets are worth what they're being valued at, and whether the structure actually protects you when things go sideways.

I spent time in my career doing real due diligence on investment managers — flying to offices, sitting across from people, asking uncomfortable questions. It's harder than it looks even when you're doing it full-time with a team behind you. The idea that an individual investor can vet a private real estate fund from a webinar replay is, frankly, generous.

And then there's the track record problem. Most of the operators pitching these deals have only managed money in one real market environment: the best real estate run in modern history. "Never lost a dollar of investor capital in 15 years," sounds remarkable. It's less remarkable when 14 of those years were a historic tailwind. I managed money in subprime mortgage-backed securities when everyone had a perfect track record. Right up until they didn't.


The tax benefit: let's actually do the math

The tax argument is usually the strongest part of the pitch, especially for high earners. Real estate depreciation flows through to investors on that K-1 and offsets income. Real benefit. I'm not arguing with the mechanics.

But here's the question worth asking: if you're being prudent about this, allocating, say, maybe 5% of your portfolio to one of these deals, what does the tax benefit actually amount to in practice? On a $50,000 investment generating a few thousand dollars in paper depreciation losses, you might save somewhere in the neighborhood of $1,500 in taxes, depending on your bracket. Against a targeted return that may or may not materialize. Against the K-1 complexity your accountant now has to untangle. Against a capital commitment that ties that $50,000 up for years.

The tail is wagging the dog. Tax efficiency is a feature. It is not an investment thesis.


Just buy the Porsche

The boring alternative already exists. Low-cost, publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs) give you real estate exposure, professional management, instant liquidity, and fees measured in fractions of a percent rather than points of your return. They're not exotic. They don't have a waiting list. Nobody sends you a webinar invite about them.

They also don't require a specialist to maintain, don't surprise you with capital calls, and don't file a K-1 in October.

I understand the appeal of the alternative. The pitch is good, the community feels exclusive, and the story is compelling. But compelling stories and good investments are not the same thing, and in my experience, the more elaborate the story, the more important it is to ask the simple question underneath it.

How does this person get paid?

The Porsche will get you where you're going. Every time. And you won't spend the weekend wondering if it'll start.